11:670:461 - Climate Dynamics - List of Handouts

  1. Syllabus
  2. Register to vote (9/5)
  3. "The fine art of baloney detection," Chapter 12 from The Demon-Haunted World : Science As a Candle in the Dark, by Carl Sagan, 1995 (9/5)
  4. Lorenz, Edward, 1972: "The Butterfly Effect" (9/5)
  5. Daily sea ice from NSIDC (9/5)
  6. Term Paper Instructions (9/5)
  7. Climate Prediction Center Global Monsoons website  (9/5)
  8. Last Week with John Oliver, Climate Change Debate, 97 scientists vs. 3 deniers (9/5)
  9. Skeptical Science website, with answers to all criticisms of global warming science (9/5)
  10. Those 3% of scientific papers that deny climate change? A review found them all flawed (9/5)
  11. Trenberth, K. E. (1983), What are the seasons? Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 64, 1276-1282. (9/5)
  12. It’s Not Your Imagination. Summers Are Getting Hotter, by NADJA POPOVICH and ADAM PEARCE, JULY 28, 2017, New York Times. (9/5)
  13. Observations, Reanalyses and the Elusive Absolute Global Mean Temperature, by Gavin Schmidt, Aug. 10, 2017, RealClimate. (9/5)
  14. You Fix the Climate, New York Times (9/5)
  15. U.S. Wind Energy Map  (9/5)
  16. Metric System Review (9/5)
  17. How To Do Problems (9/5)
  18. Homework 1, due Sept. 16 (9/5)
  19. Textbook Figures (9/5)
  20. Climate Explorer (9/9)
  21. NCEI State of the Climate (9/9)
  22. Climate.gov (9/9)
  23. NCAR Climate Data Guide (9/9)
  24. NASA Causes of Climate Change (9/9)
  25. Encyclical of Pope Francis on Climate Change, Laudato Si  (9/9)
  26. To draw your own figures of greenhouse gas concentrations:  NOAA Interactive Atmospheric Data Visualization  (9/9)
  27. Land cover data, Univ. Catholique Louvain (9/16)
  28. Homework 2, due Sept. 26 (9/16)
  29. GISS surface air temperature anomalies, 1880-2019, described at http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/ (9/16)
  30. Climate Reanalyzer (9/16)
  31. NOAA El Niño Page (9/16)
  32. PAGES   News, El Niño edition, August 2013 (9/16)
  33. El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO), from State Climatologist of North Carolina (9/16)
  34. North American Multi-Model Ensemble (9/16)
  35. Pacific-North American Pattern (PNA), from State Climatologist of North Carolina (9/16)
  36. North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), from State Climatologist of North Carolina (9/16)
  37. Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), from State Climatologist of North Carolina (9/16)
  38. Sir Gilbert Walker (9/16)
  39. QBO animation from Mark Baldwin (9/16)
  40. 3-D QBO visualization from Kevin Hamilton (9/16)
  41. Dangerous new hot zones are spreading around the world, by Chris Mooney and John Muyskens, Sept. 11, 2019, Washington Post. (9/16)
  42. nullschool   (9/19)
  43. IPCC PowerPoint  (9/19)
  44. "The hard truths of climate change — by the numbers," by Jeff Tollefson, Nature, Sept. 18, 2019 (9/23)
  45. Homework 3, due Oct. 3 (9/26)
  46. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (9/26)
  47. Rutgers Climate Symposium November 29, 2019.  Register here.  (10/3)
  48. Kalnay, E., M. Kanamitsu, R. Kistler, W. Collins, D. Deaven, L. Gandin, M. Iredell, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, Y. Zhu, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, W. Higgins, J. Janowiak, K. C. Mo, C. Ropelewski, J. Wang, A. Leetmaa, R. Reynolds, R. Jenne, and D. Joseph, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437–471. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2   (10/7)
  49. Kistler, R., E. Kalnay, W. Collins, S. Saha, G. White, J. Woollen, M. Chelliah, W. Ebisuzaki, M. Kanamitsu, V. Kousky, H. van den Dool, R. Jenne, and M. Fiorino, 2001: The NCEP-NCAR 50-Year Reanalysis: Monthly Means CD-ROM and Documentation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 247-268. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0247:TNNYRM>2.3.CO;2  PDF file (10/7)
  50. Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons AJ, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda MA, Balsamo G, Bauer P, Bechtold P, Beljaars ACM, van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Delsol C, Dragani R, Fuentes M, Geer AJ, Haimberger L, Healy SB, Hersbach H, Holm EV, Isaksen L, Kallberg P, Kohler M, Matricardi M, McNally AP, Monge-Sanz BM, Morcrette J-J, Park B-K, Peubey C, de Rosnay P, Tavolato C, Thepaut J-N, Vitart F., 2011: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 553–597. DOI:10.1002/qj.828  PDF file (10/7)
  51. ERA5 (10/7)
  52. pamsite.rutgers.edu (10/7)
  53. Homework 4, due Oct. 21 (10/14)
  54. Build Your Own Earth (10/14)
  55. NCAR CESM (10/17)
  56. Climate Model Diagnostics Package (10/17)
  57. IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 Chapter 8, Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing (10/21)
  58. IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 Chapter 9, Evaluation of Climate Models (10/21)
  59. Zhu, J., & Poulsen, C. J. ( 2019). Quantifying the cloud particle‐size feedback in an Earth system model. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083829 (10/21)
  60. Shi, Z., Xie, X., Ren, X., Li, X., Yang, L., Lei, J., et al. ( 2019). Radiative effect of mineral dust on East Asian summer monsoon during the Last Glacial Maximum: Role of snow‐albedo feedback. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL084211 (10/21)
  61. Homework 5, due Nov. 4 (10/24)
  62. Robock, Alan, 1985: An updated climate feedback diagram. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 66, 786-787.  (10/24)
  63. The Sheep Albedo Feedback  (10/24)
  64. Science at the Bleating Edge  (10/24)
  65. NOAA Long-Range Forecasting Discussion  (10/24)
  66. Kirtman, Ben, et al., 2013:  Prediction from Weeks to Decades. Chapter 8 in Climate Science for Serving Society, Ghassem R. Asrar and James W. Hurrell, Eds., (Springer, Dordrecht), 205-235.  (10/24)
  67. What is the MJO?  (10/24)
  68. NOAA MJO forecast discussion  (10/24)
  69. ECMWF Forecast Products  (10/24)
  70. ECMWF Niño3.4 forecasts  (10/24)
  71. NOAA Official Forecast Products  (10/24)
  72. NOAA Medium Range Forecasts  (10/24)
  73. NOAA 30-day forecasts  (10/24)
  74. NOAA 3-month outlooks  (10/24)
  75. National Multi-Model Ensemble  (10/24)
  76. NOAA Probability of Exceedence Maps  (10/24)
  77. NOAA Climate Prediction Center  (10/24)
  78. Farmer's Almanac Winter Forecast  (10/24)
  79. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2013-2014  (10/24)
  80. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2014-2015  (10/24)
  81. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2015-2016  (10/24)
  82. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2016-2017  (10/24)
  83. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2017-2018  (10/24)
  84. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2018-2019  (10/24)
  85. Accuweather Winter Forecast 2019-2020  (10/24)
  86. Old Farmer's Almanac Winter Forecast 2019-2020  (10/24)
  87. Accuweather Asia Winter Forecast 2017-2018  (10/24)
  88. Accuweather Europe Winter Forecast 2017-1018 (10/24)
  89. Accuweather UK Winter Forecast 2017-2018  (10/24)
  90. Accuweather Germany Winter Forecast 2017-2018  (10/24)
  91. Accuweather Canada Winter Forecast 2017-2018  (10/24)
  92. Past Winter Observations (10/24)
  93. Winter Observations for Past Two Years (10/24)
  94. Voosen, Paul, 2017: 2.7-million-year-old ice opens window on past, Science, 357 (6352), 630-631, doi:10.1126/science.357.6352.630.  (11/4)
  95. World’s oldest ice core could solve mystery of ‘flipped’ ice age cycles, by Paul Voosen, Science (11/4)
  96. Ancient air challenges prominent explanation for a shift in glacial cycles, by Eric W. Wolff, Nature (11/4)
  97. Yan, Y., Bender, M.L., Brook, E.J. et al., 2019: Two-million-year-old snapshots of atmospheric gases from Antarctic ice. Nature, 574, 663–666, doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1692-3 (11/4)
  98. Homework 6, due Nov. 11 (11/4)
  99. Homework 7, due Nov. 14 (11/4)
  100. How to write scientific papers  (11/4)
  101. Homework 8 (extra credit), due Nov. 26 (11/7)
  102. More papers on geoengineering (11/7)
  103. Homework 7 teams, due Nov. 14 (11/11)
  104. How not to make a good PowerPoint  (11/11)
  105. Arctic Sea Ice Video, 1984 - 2019, from Moore, G. W. K., Schweiger, A., Zhang, J., & Steele, M. ( 2019). Spatiotemporal variability of sea ice in the arctic's last ice area. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083722 (11/18)
  106. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse video on corporate climate change denial  (11/18)
  107. Oral Presentation Form  (11/21)
  108. Green New Deal  (11/21)
  109. A Message From the Future With Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez  (11/21)
  110. Peace Corps  (12/2)
  111. How should billionaires spend their money to fight climate change? I asked 9 experts. by Sigal Samuel in Vox   (12/2)
  112. Some Of Vox’s 9 Experts On Billionaire Climate Spending Are Off Base, by Michael Barnard in CleanTechnica  (12/2)
  113. Oral presentation schedule (12/2)
  114. Class survey.  Complete by Dec. 21.   Or scan here.  (12/2)
  115. See How the World’s Most Polluted Air Compares With Your City’s, by Nadja Popovich, Blacki Migliozzi, Karthik Patanjali, Anjali Singhvi and Jon Huang, New York Times, Dec. 2, 2019  (12/5)

Prepared by Alan Robock (robock@envsci.rutgers.edu) - Last updated on December 3, 2019